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There was a huge group for the special Thanksgiving Giro Ride |
This morning's Sunday Giro Ride was, I assume, rained out. I'm looking out the window now, around 8:30 a.m., and the weather's looking better, which is to say it's not actually raining right now. There's a cold front on the way, and the 66° temperature and light southeast wind we have now will turn into 49° with a 14 mph northwest wind by tomorrow morning. We haven't had to fire up the heater at home yet, but it's looking like next week will be the actual start of winter weather around here. Anyway, if the streets dry up a bit I may try to slip out for a short ride later today as minor compensation for the missed group ride.
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Up on top of the Casino overpass waiting for Jeff to fix a flat down at the bottom. Fred flatted shortly after we started up again, but he slipped quietly off the back and told us to go ahead. |
Yesterday's Giro also carried the threat of rain, and much of the ride was on wet streets, with predictable results. The turnout was low, the pace was slower than normal, and there were flats. Wet streets have been the order of the day since Thursday, along with some early morning fog and mist, and people have been getting flats left and right. I went out alone on Friday morning for some easy miles on the bike path, but didn't make it back home without having to stop to fix a flat rear tire. It was a tiny, but super-sharp, shard of glass deeply embedded in the too-soft rubber of the Continental 5000 that I had to pry out with my little pocket knife. I think Continental's newer 5000 tire went just one step too far past the beloved 4000 in search of lightness and grip. I think the combination of softer rubber and thinner sidewalls combined to make what had been a great training and racing tire a bit too unreliable for routine training. I'd been using the 4000s for years, having found them to be, by far, the most puncture-resistant training tire I'd ever used. Although I've stuck with the less durable but somewhat lighter and faster and stickier Michelins for my race wheels, the 4000S was my go-to tire for training. Now, though, I see people searching around for a replacement for the 4000 after suffering sidewall cuts and punctures with the 5000s. I might be joining them. Just the other day I stitched a boot into my rear 5000 because of a cut that had compromised some of the casing threads and was threatening to enlarge enough to blow out. Sometimes what looks like progress isn't.
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Wet streets have been the order of the day for lately |
Last Thursday, which was Thanksgiving, there was a huge turnout for the special "holiday Giro." The ride itself wasn't super-fast, although of course it had its moments, so it was really a lot of fun. Afterward I went home to a 14-pound turkey and two pies, which may have been a little much for just the two of us.
Anyway, it looks like I'll be digging down to the bottom of the drawer next week to find the cold-weather riding gear that hasn't seen the light of day since last February. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. continues to surge. Here in New Orleans our positive test ratio has been somewhat artificially suppressed by the 2,500+ surveillance tests that Tulane had been doing daily. But the students went home last week and yesterday's 2-day test count from Tulane was down to only 133 with 5.3% of those being positive. Of course, the only people being tested the past few days have probably been the ones who are actually sick, so no surprise there, but by next week when the effect of Tulane's reduced testing hits the official LDH reports I fully expect to see a significant jump in the New Orleans percentage of positive tests since there will be far fewer healthy people being tested in the denominator. I'm guessing the rate will rise 1.5 to 2% easy. Hopefully still not as high as other areas of the state, but it will probably make the news.
All of this, of course, has me again thinking about the wisdom of doing group rides. For me, there is absolutely no doubt that the group rides are the only things that get me, however briefly, up to the levels of intensity that might keep me at some reasonable fitness level. It also may be the only thing keeping me sane. But as local positivity levels rise, and people start spending more time inside with others because of the weather and holiday gatherings, the risk will definitely go up. Fortunately I've not heard of any sort of outbreak or cluster associated with group rides. I guess there are some some ways to rationalize it all, of course. For one, few people who are feeling ill are going to venture out to the Giro Ride or WeMoRi, and even if they did, they would probably not last long. For another, with all of the turbulence and moving around in a fast group ride, the duration and dose associated with any exposure would be expected to be very, very low. Unless, of course, you ride right into the cloud of aerosol from some idiot who feels compelled to blow snot out of his or her nose in the middle of the group. Amazingly, that still happens, especially to the smaller riders like me who tend to be invisible when riders glance quickly behind themselves.
Really, all I can do it trust the riders around me. Trust has always been a big component of group rides. You need to trust the riders up ahead not to do anything stupid, to call out the big road hazards, to ride a straight line, and now, not to blow snot in your face. I could always reduce my exposure by staying at the front, of course, but that's not really a viable, or particularly attractive, option for me most of the time. Besides, I do really think that the best way to get COVID isn't from riding in a group, but from sitting across a table from someone talking loudly at a restaurant or in a bar. I think I've been to an indoor restaurant maybe twice since March, and at outdoor tables only a handful of times. If we can get the new vaccines distributed quickly and widely, and if people are actually willing to take vaccines that didn't even exist six months ago and have been rushed into production at an unprecedented speed, and if they indeed don't cause any unanticipated side-effects, there may be some hope for normal racing to resume by, maybe, next August. It all still leaves race promoters unsure about what to plan for the 2021 season. I don't guess we'll have a clue until maybe March or so when we see how initial distribution of the RNA vaccines is going and where the other vaccines are in the cycle. I have to say, I think the RNA vaccines are really cool, and I'd be surprised if any serious side-effects show up, but still there's no denying that we're all going to be test subjects next year one way or the other. Even those who refuse to be vaccinated will be test subjects since there's no way to tell if a vaccine is working if there's no significant amount of people getting sick.